We will go over a few things you should understand before you wager on baseball. The fact that baseball doesn't have point spreads is the reason why people might be afraid to bet on it. Baseball offers the best possible betting odds out of all the sports. This all comes down to what is called the "money line" which will be discussed in this article.
You may be asking yourself "why is baseball so profitable in the long run"?
We can start by saying that the amount of games that are played each year will offer you great betting opportunities. In baseball, they play thousands of games each season, where in football they only play a few hundred. The only real break during the baseball season is during the all-star break and that's only a few days.
Since so many games are played each day, this give Vegas odds makers little time to produce an accurate betting line. You will often see late injury reports which will make things very hard on odds makers in Vegas. Money lines will move occasionally directly after the betting public has started wagering. This could be important information to any sports better that hasn't yet placed their wager, a possible injury or other news may have come into play. Here are a few extremely important rules to follow when wagering on baseball games.
If you only take one thing out of this article I hope this will be it. The most important thing is what the sportsbooks call "10 cent" lines. This is very important because in the long run, this will save you thousands when picking your MLB Picks.
This is what a "10 cent" line will look like.
"10 cent" line
Texas Rangers +130
Baltimore Orioles -120
"20 cent" line
Chicago White Sox +125
Miami Marlins -145
Lots of times local bookmakers or even online sportsbook will use these "20 cent" and "30 cent" lines. Be sure to wager through a sportsbook that gives the best odds around.
Las Vegas makes their profit with these types of lines. As illustrated above, you can see that there are equal amounts of money on each side. They will guarantee themselves a profit regardless of the final outcome of the game.
Now let's look at some very basic factors to look at before hand. What should we look at before we make our selection?
Pitching (most important)
Most people who already bet on baseball are saying "no kidding!" Still, little attention does overall pitching get paid. Instead of looking to see what the pitcher is doing lately, people will look at overall team play. This is not like any other sport played, one individual can change the final outcome of the game. The starting pitcher will average handling the ball 100 times in a game, this is far more times than anyone on the field excluding the catcher of course.
Like we said here, pitching is far more important than any other factor when betting baseball. You will have several opportunities to look for value when handicapping pitching in baseball. You will certainly find great value on your pitcher if he is facing a popular baseball team, like New York or Boston. Like we said at the beginning of this article. Regardless of the final outcome, Vegas only wants the same amount of money on both teams played. Amateur sports betters fall into the trap of betting the popular baseball team, rather than the best team. It's really this simple guys, pitching offers the best all-around value in the long run.
Hitting
Very few sports betters investigate overall hitting when they are looking at statistics. Rather than looking at streaks, they look at final outcomes. Rather than looking at individual performances. This should never happen to you. Make sure you are handicapping each and every players performance. If the best hitter for an already struggling offensive team is in a slump, than I would stay away from betting them. It gets harder to win baseball games if your team can't score runs, so the pitcher can't win if his team isn't scoring for him.
It's very important to look at hitting streaks, this should be done before you bet. As we said before, if a team can't hit as a team, when their best player is also struggling, than what do you think is going to happen?
If you see the exact opposite and a player is hitting very well, the same thing will apply. Baseball players that are "feeling" it at the plate offer great betting value. Nothing like other sports being played, baseball is all about coordination of the hand & eye. In some cases, you will see players have short live poor coordination. Make certain to handicap whether a player is slumping or streaking.
Umps
Can home plate umpires really change the final outcome of a game you might be asking? Seeing which ump is behind the plate will be very important. Some umps offer very strict strike zones. So, pitchers that rely on finesse and control, are going to struggle. If the team has a patient offense, then this pitcher might not get the calls he needs.
These are the most important factors when deciding on your baseball selections. Your success rate will increase significantly if you use these rules.
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